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Stereophile Magazine
Feb 2001 Vol.24 No.1

Jon Iverson's laments on SACD and DVD-Audio slow start in the heat of the MP3 battle got my attention this month.  (It doesn't take much to excite us here in the backwoods of New Hampshire.)  Jon suggested that access to vast, world wide libraries and zero cost of acquisition will continue to win the battle against the MP3's poor audio quality.  Jon misses the point on the quality issue but he opened up a really is interesting topic, namely the other implications of these new technologies.

ON THE QUALITY ISSUE

MP3 has kept my 3000+ records on the shelf for many weeks since I discovered Napster.   Most of my listening is done in the thundering cabin of a Land Rover, primarily over gravel roads.  Quality is a very relative term.  In our crowded  kitchen at dinner MP3's fine.  (Can't wait to put a skip less player on the tractor).  Besides, The Embers singing "Sixty Minute Man" is not what you'd call an audiophile experience.  

WHAT'S THIS ALL MEAN?

The intriguing evolutionary battle being lost by the huge but prehistoric music consortium will probably crush a few small, warm-blooded Napsters who get caught out in the open.  However, they won't get all of 'em.  My current estimate is about 4,278 more are around.   That's the number of users signed onto Napster this morning at 7:20 AM EST.  Multiply that by a dozen other time zones and you get too large number for even Metallica to sue.

Napster, you see, uses old technology.  GPulp, for example, is a Napster like search technology that uses no central server !  All those ka-zillion kids will search each others' files without the vulnerable central site.  So what's this mean?  Just a fundamental shift in the way we find and listen to music.  For example, try these on for size:

TALENT SCOUTING:   You will no longer be dependent on a small group of record/cd producers to find bring forward artists (a point of Jon's).  New mechanisms are already available to find new performers.  Now you don't have to play it safe & buy only what you know.  Free is a very liberating price,  so being able to down load an MP3 gives you a wonderful preview (more about this later) and is training us to be comfortable with e-purchasing of music. Perhaps MP3 will reinvent music distribution to a more share-ware like process?  You like it then you buy it.  Should change radio's role, too.

DON'T NEED NO STINKIN' ALBUMS:  You will no longer buy $15 worth of second rate cuts to get the one that rings your bell.   You just buy the cut.   This is serious margin bleed for the record companies and mega-hit artists.  But it will allow room in the market place for LOTS of  new groups. One cut at a time.  Major players will resistance and that will create the next change.

MONEY WILL BE MADE, LOTS OF IT:  A new, fresh and hungry breed of music producer is already evolving (small & warm-blooded?).  They are tied to the large scale, limited artists approach but are building us a new musical ecology.   I'm just an old dinosaur myself,  so I haven't a clue on the mechanics of the new cash flow.  But I do know that in this new musical eco-system, all those little furry entrepreneurs will find ways.  Plus they will feed a population of new artists, new music, new genres to produce those new profits. 

AUDIOPHILE FORMATS:  No, I didn't forget about us antiques and our search of the next best thing.  A couple things come to mind.  Lots of us search NP3-land to find wonderful but unavailable old stuff (when was the last time you saw "One Mint Julip"?  By the Clovers in a music store?).  Be nice to have access to a good copy.  With all the scratches on my record, would I pay for an archival quality one?  You betcha.

We also look and soon will surf for new music.  Don't know about you but when I find a performer or group I love, I buy EVERYTHING they have on the market, in EVERY FORMAT.  Yep, I got every CD and record ever produced by Los Lobos, Patricia Barber, Janis Ian, Miles Davis and so on.   Duplicates of those, even.  I don't care about how much is available in a given format, just that it has my favorite players.  So the next best thing will allow me to download it to my music room onto some archival format.  Pay for it?  You betcha. 

So where's the SACD and DVD-Audio market?  No clue.  That's what we look to Jon to tell us and them.  Go get 'em Jon.